Alex Smart

Boston turns to right-hander Josh Winckowski (1-1, 3.50 ERA), who is scheduled to make his third straight start after seven relief appearances to start the season. He is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA in two appearances (no starts) against San Francisco.The righty has allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings since joining the rotation April 2 and projects to have another strong effort here. Meanwhile, San Francisco,, will  send Kyle Harrison (2-1, 4.09) who threw six scoreless innings last Friday against Pittsburgh, striking out seven and allowing only five hits. He also projects to last into the mid innings of this game.  MLB  Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.

BOSTON is 16-4 UNDER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 26-13 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored.  SAN FRANCISCO is 45-19 UNDER (after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. 

SF has gone under in 5 straight games. Bosox have gone under in 3 straight. 

Play on the under

The Orioles were shutout yesterday by a 2-0 count  and I am now expecting another low scoring tilt  in the finale of this 4 game set . It must be noted that the Yankees  have scored a total of only four runs in the first three games of the series. The  Yanks starter  Rodon has pitched well this season, garnering a   (2-1, 2.48 ERA) record. In his last two games combined, he has pitched in 13 innings while allowing only one run. He struck out a season-high eight in six innings Saturday at Milwaukee and has momentum entering this game and is back with a viable bullpen that owns a stingy 1.87 ERA on the road this season. On the flip-side right-hander Kyle Bradish is expected to come off the injured list for his season debut. He is a viable hurler, and deserves respect here as hr is fresh and far from tired , and is backed by a quality Os bullpen that has garnered 3.66 ERA at home this season.  Im betting on a lower scoring game as my projections estimate both offenses will struggle today.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpgs clicking in at 7.3.  

Play under 

In the two games in this play off series played in Indiana the pace and combined  scoring outputs have produced exactly 239 points both times. Im now betting on a similar all out output, as the Bucks are on the verge of illumination and will have to be aggressive offensively against the NBAs No 1 offense that will be ready to run and gun their way to the next series. The Bucks upset the Pacers by a 115-92 count  at home last time out as the the visitors looked lethargic , but Im betting on a huge rebound here from the Pacers and an all out performance especially on offense where they usually thrive.  Note:INDIANA is 20-7 OVER after scoring 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242.9 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 41 games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average 232.8 ppg scored.

.INDIANA in 33 in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season have seen a combined average of 244..3 ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE in 65 games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season with a combined average of 236.1 ppg scored.

***There are reports Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard will return for this game, but still not verified. Play or not Im still expecting offensive fireworks.

Play on the over